COMPLEXO ECONÔMICO-INDUSTRIAL DA SAÚDE (CEIS): A DEPENDÊNCIA EXTERNA BRASILEIRA À LUZ DO MODELO GTAP
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https://doi.org/10.61673/ren.2025.1718Palabras clave:
Covid-19 , Health Industrial Economic Complex, Governmental demand, GTAPResumen
If one has in mind the COVID-19 context and the Brazilian external dependence on health–service provision inputs, the aim of the present article is to contribute to debates on Health Economic-Industrial Complex (Complexo Econômico Industrial da Saúde - CEIS). We started the analysis by assessing the effects of internal health–service demand increase, which was simulated by the increased demand of the federal government based on the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model, version 10 (2014). Effects were observed on the Brazilian production, imports, exports and trade balance, as well as on its main partner countries, given the origin of their imports for the health sector. The governmental demand increase has intensified production for the health-services sector and the demand for imports, mainly in the industrial and pharmaceutical sectors. The trade balance deficit shows the weakness of CEIS-associated sectors. On the other hand, Brazilian trading partners, and the rest of the world, have benefited from their increased exports and from surpluses in these sectors’ trade balances.
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